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MSTR

DCA Valuation Engine — valuation percentile, V score and contribution sizing

Rebuilding valuation history from this company's filings…

Five years of weekly prices against point-in-time statements. This runs once a day per ticker.

Valuation Score (V)

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0 · dear100 · cheap

Model:

This period's contribution

Base DCA

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M_valuation

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M_earnings

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M_portfolio

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How these three are calculated

The calculation

Every term below is this ticker's own number. The general form is at the bottom of the page.

DCF — the absolute anchor

What the cash flows are worth, discounted.

V_dcf

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Weight in V

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Confidence (c)

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Priced against

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Case	Fair value	Upside	V	Weight

Assumptions

How to read this

Factors

Each multiple is ranked against its own history on the same trailing basis. A high expensiveness percentile means dear.

Factor	Now	Raw pct	Expensiveness	Weight	Contribution

What each multiple is buying

The rows this ticker is actually scored on are marked with their weight.

Metric	What you are buying

V score over time

Multiple history

Weekly price over the fundamentals published as of that week.

What the percentiles are measured against

Window

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Observations

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Filing vintages

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Basis

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The distribution is built from weekly prices divided by the statements that were public that week, so the denominator really moves — but it only steps once per filing. A five-year window is ~260 weekly points and far fewer independent fundamental readings, which is the number that bounds how much a percentile is worth. Forward figures Yahoo publishes today are shown below for context and are deliberately never ranked against this trailing distribution: for anything growing, a forward multiple is lower, so ranking one against the other reads cheap every time.

Forward-basis series being banked

General form

Valuation sets the pace of contribution; it does not decide whether to buy.

P_metric = percentile_rank(current vs own history)

E_rel = Σ w_f · P_f (yields enter as 100 − P)

V_rel = 100 − E_rel

V_dcf = 50 + c · (Σ w_s · V_s − 50)

V = w_dcf · V_dcf + (1 − w_dcf) · V_rel

M_valuation = 0.5 + V / 100

DCA_i = Base_i × M_val × M_earn × M_port

With no usable DCF, w_dcf is 0 and V is the relative score alone — the missing branch is never filled with a neutral 50.

Score bands

V	State	Multiplier	Meaning

A research and capital-discipline framework, not a return guarantee or an automated trading instruction. Weights should be re-tested periodically and revised when a company's business model changes.